Probability weighted FCFF DCF

Three-Case DCF

Enter a company's financials and your bear, normal and bull assumptions. The model values each case, then weights them by the probabilities you set.

Company financials

Dollar amounts in millions. Use the latest fiscal year from the 10-K.

Scenarios

Growth and margin move in a straight line from year 1 to the final forecast year.

Bear Normal Bull

Free cash flow forecast

FCFF = EBIT × (1 − tax) + D&A − capex − increase in working capital. $ millions.

Sensitivity, normal case

Value per share as WACC and terminal growth shift. The outlined cell is the normal case.